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[edit] [edit] Insurance is statistically a bad bet for the player who has no direct knowledge nor estimation (e.g. through card counting) of the dealer's 'hole card' because Insurance has a negative expected value for the player. Even for the player who has been dealt a natural (a two-card 21) it is unwise to take Insurance. In such a case, the dealer usually asks the player "Even money?" This means that instead of 3:2, the player with the natural accepts to be paid off at 2:2. Thus it is exactly the same thing as buying Insurance, losing the Insurance bet and getting paid 3:2 on the natural. (If the player with the natural refuses "even money", and the dealer turns over a natural, it is a tie.) For example, the official house advantage for a casino game might be 1%, and thus the expected value of return for the gambler is 99%. However, this math would only be true if the gambler never used the results of a winning bet again. Thus after gambling 100 dollars the idealized average gambler would be left with 99 dollars, but, if he continued to bet using his 99 dollars in winnings, he would again lose 1% on average and his expected value would go down to 98.01 dollars. This downward spiral continues until the gambler's expected value approaches zero: gambler's ruin. Some of you may have heard about Cynthia Haines. Most of the online casinos know her name. Cynthia Haines is a woman from California who ran up $115,000 in credit card debts by gambling online. When it came time to pay up she refused. Conversely, a player may win his original bet and lose his Insurance bet: Some claim that the gambler's fallacy is a cognitive bias produced by a psychological heuristic called the representativeness heuristic. Dice / Tiles
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Online casinos are decent businesses because they work hard. And they do work hard. Mambo stud First impressions are that Europa's lobby is probably the most attractive I've ever seen. You are welcomed by relaxing music and an animated water fountain sculpture, surrounded by several famous European landmarks like the Eiffel Tower and the leaning tower of Pisa. I also like Europa's blue tables - not that I don't like the classic "color of money" green - but it's a refreshing change and a nice touch. OK nothing to do with horse racing, but this is too good not to tell you about. If you could do with extra cash this is a great way to make some money. When the probability of different events is not independent, the probability of future events can change based on the outcome of past events. An example of this is cards drawn without replacement. It's true that once a jack is removed from the deck, the next draw is less likely to be a jack and more likely to be of another rank. Random number games are based upon the selection of random numbers, either from a computerized random number generator or from other gaming equipment. Random number games may be played at a table, such as Roulette, or through the purchase of paper tickets or cards, such as Keno or Bingo. Related links
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